�Monsoon likely to hit Kerala by May 31 says Weather forecast

Mangalore Today News Network

New Delhi, May 13, 2016:  According to reported  predictions by private weather forecasting agencies ;  SW south-west monsoon is likely to hit Kerala coast between May 28 and 30, almost 10 days after it arrives in the Andaman and Nicobar islands,

Quote : "It is likely to reach over Andaman and Nicobar Islands between May 18 and May 20. Thereafter, the south-west monsoon is likely to arrive over Kerala between May 28 and May 30, simultaneously covering some parts of north-east India," said private forecaster. While the official monsoon arrival date according to the IMD Indian Meteorological Department is May 15, the government weather agency maintained that climatologically monsoon is expected to reach south Kerala by May 31.

After two successive drought years in 2014 and 2015, the Met department gave some good news in 2016 with a forecast of above normal (106% of the average) rainfall as the dreaded El Nino factor is on the ebb.  Since the eastern arm of the monsoon will move on a faster pace as compared to its western arm, it is expected to reach Kolkata by June 10. Mumbai will have to wait a little and is likely to witness onset of the monsoon with a short delay between June 12 and June 14.

Advancement of monsoon may be slow over Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh. Most parts of these states will be covered by June 25 it seems.  The monsoon is likely to mark its onset over Delhi by July 1. Subsequently, almost all parts of the country, barring western Rajasthan, will be covered between July 1 and July 7. Further, the monsoon will cover the entire country before July 15. Hopefully people look forward to a good monsoon soon.